Along with the intentions of most countries to increase their military-strategic importance, robotic systems have become especially relevant as the latest innovative high-tech direction – relatively cheap unmanned platforms of various bases (aviation, ground, sea) with strike alone or reconnaissance and strike elements. The article presents a method of assessing the combat capabilities of unmanned aerial systems by groups of generalized indicators using the method of expert assessments. The proposed method takes into account the consistency of experts' opinions by applying the concordance coefficient and allows moving from qualitative to quantitative assessment of the combat capabilities of unmanned aerial systems. It is established that the assessment of the degree of agreement of experts' opinions is not less important for the scientific substantiation of the forecast by expert methods. It is emphasized that the assessment of the degree of consistency of experts' opinions should be carried out using the concordance coefficient, the statistical significance of which, in turn, if necessary, can be verified by the criterion of Pearson. To implement the process of assessing the competence of experts, it is advisable to use universal statistical analysis programs. On the basis of the theoretical provisions presented in research, the algorithm of processing of results of experts’questioning is made. Finally, the directions of further research on the development of scientifically substantiated recommendations for the practical use of the method of expert assessments for the analysis of combat capabilities of unmanned aerial systems by groups of generalized indicators are formulated.

Most modern military confrontations take place near or directly in inhabited area. The use in such conditions of munition (warheads) which hit typical targets based on fragmentation (high-explosive) or cumulative action is impractical due to insufficient “selectivity” of hitting targets with such munition. At present, modern world tendency is the development of the latest munition (warheads) with increased properties of “destruction selectivity”. One of the directions is the development of munition based on thermobaric explosives. Such munitions can cause maximum damage due to high temperature and the impact of a shock wave with a low level of collateral damage, since thermobaric munition, especially in the open area, have a clearly defined or even limited area of effective damage, which determines the significance of their further development. Since modern thermobaric explosives include a large number of chemical elements (including chemically active metals), there is a need to calculate the physical balance of oxygen and oxygen coefficient to take into account the physical characteristics of modern multicomponent thermobaric explosives. The oxygen balance of multicomponent thermobaric explosives largely determines the nature of the reaction of its explosive transformation, i.e the composition of the explosive products and, consequently, the value of thermodynamic characteristics such as heat, temperature, volume and pressure of gas-like explosive products. The calculated ratio and coefficients for complex multicomponent thermobaric explosives should be calculated during the development of explosives, taking into account the composition of components and elements and their possible chemical reactions during the explosion. The abovementioned improved calculations of oxygen balance and oxygen coefficient of thermobaric explosives, which include aluminum, allows taking into account the physical characteristics of destruction of typical targets by thermobaric munitions.

A large number of weapon systems have been emerged over the last few decades. Most of these parts create an explosive for poles using fragmentation or cumulative jet. Until recently, some combat units identified the explosion as a major factor. But new technologies have made it possible to develop warheads that improve the characteristics of the explosion and use it as one of the main methods of impacting the target, i.e thermobaric warheads. Ammunition equipped with mixed (multicomponent) thermobaric explosives has many advantages over ammunition equipped with conventional explosives. They are more economical (cheaper to manufacture), safer to use and have adjustable thermodynamic characteristics, as well as the composition of products, which allows you to choose the optimal filling of thermobaric ammunition to perform specific tasks. The article proposes calculations and methods for determining the main thermodynamic parameters of thermobaric ammunition explosion, namely: heat of explosion, volume of gaseous products, temperature and radius of high temperature area, excess pressure in front of the shock wave and its speed taking into account the physical characteristics of thermobaric explosive. The peculiarity of the above calculations and methods is to take into account the physical characteristics of the explosion of the explosive mixture.