Southeast Asia (SE Asia) undergoes major and rapid land cover changes as a result of agricultural expansion. Landscape conversion results in alterations to surface fluxes of moisture, heat, and momentum and sequentially impact the boundary layer structure, cloud-cover regime, and all other aspects of local and regional weather and climate occurring also in regimes remote from the original landscape disturbance. The extent and magnitude of the anthropogenic modification effect is still uncertain. This study investigates the biogeophysical effects of large-scale deforestation on monsoon regions using an idealized deforestation simulation. The simulations are performed using the regional climate model COSMO-CLM forced with ERA-Interim data during the period 1984–2004. In the deforestation experiment, grasses in SE Asia, between 20°S and 20°N, replace areas covered by trees. Using principal component analysis, it is found that abrupt conversion from forest to grassland cover leads to major climate variability in the year of disturbance, which is 1990, over SE Asia. The persistent land modification leads to a decline in evapotranspiration and precipitation and a significant warming due to reduced latent heat flux during 1990–2004. The strongest effects are seen in the lowlands of SE Asia. Daily precipitation extremes increase during the monsoon period and ENSO, differing from the result of mean precipitation changes. Maximum temperature also increases by 2°C. The impacts of land cover change are more intense than the effects of El Niño and La Niña. In addition, results show that these land clearings can amplify the impact of the natural mode ENSO, which has a strong impact on climate conditions in SE Asia. This will likely have consequences for the agricultural output.

Heavy precipitation events are expected to increase in frequency and intensity in many parts of Europe as a result of climate change. These events can affect regions located far from rivers that have never been affected before. As warning times are short, there are hardly any effective emergency measures to mitigate the severe damage caused by pluvial floods. Therefore, long‐term mitigation measures are necessary for sustainable urban flood management. However, people first need to realise their personal risk in order to become active and take private precautionary measures. To get a better understanding of the processes underlying public risk perception of pluvial floods, a questionnaire‐based telephone survey was conducted analysing two case studies in western Germany. Key findings reveal that risk perceptions need to be distinguished between personal and global perception. Personal risk perception was low among the participants, while their global risk perception was far higher. The determinants of global and personal risk perception on pluvial flooding were identified. The study also showed that mitigation behaviour is influenced by personal risk perception, knowledge, education, and housing conditions. These determinants should receive attention when future risk communication and flood management strategies are developed.

No abstract

Abstract. The "Great Frost" of 1740 was one of the coldest winters of the eighteenth century and impacted many countries all over Europe. The years 1740–1741 have long been known as a period of general crisis caused by harvest failures, high prices for staple foods, and excess mortality. Vulnerabilities, coping capacities and adaptation processes varied considerably among different countries. This paper investigates the famine of 1740–1741 in Ireland applying a multi-indicator model developed specifically for the integration of an analysis of pre-famine vulnerability, the Famine Vulnerability Analysis Model (FVAM). Our focus is on Ireland, because famine has played a more outstanding role in Irish national history than in any other European country, due to the "Great Famine" of 1845–1852 and its long-term demographic effects. Our analysis shows that Ireland was already particularly vulnerable to famine in the first half of the eighteenth century. During and after the experience of hardship in 1740–1741, many Irish moved within Ireland or left the country entirely. We regard migration as a form of adaptation and argue that Irish migration in 1740–1741 should be considered as a case of climate-induced migration.