2011
DOI: 10.1890/10-1594.1
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Species' traits predict phenological responses to climate change in butterflies

Abstract: Abstract. How do species' traits help identify which species will respond most strongly to future climate change? We examine the relationship between species' traits and phenology in a well-established model system for climate change, the U.K. Butterfly Monitoring Scheme (UKBMS). Most resident U.K. butterfly species have significantly advanced their dates of first appearance during the past 30 years. We show that species with narrower larval diet breadth and more advanced overwintering stages have experienced … Show more

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Cited by 192 publications
(256 citation statements)
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“…Many of these are the same traits that Bartomeus et al (2013) identified, namely diet breadth (number of host species), dispersal ability, voltinism, overwintering stage, and range size. While Diamond et al (2011) found evidence for the date of first appearance advancing in butterflies, some of the results were not as expected. For example, butterfly species that appeared earlier exhibited narrower diets, which is unexpected as host plants may be limited at that time (Diamond et al, 2011).…”
Section: Pollinator-focused Studiesmentioning
confidence: 58%
“…Many of these are the same traits that Bartomeus et al (2013) identified, namely diet breadth (number of host species), dispersal ability, voltinism, overwintering stage, and range size. While Diamond et al (2011) found evidence for the date of first appearance advancing in butterflies, some of the results were not as expected. For example, butterfly species that appeared earlier exhibited narrower diets, which is unexpected as host plants may be limited at that time (Diamond et al, 2011).…”
Section: Pollinator-focused Studiesmentioning
confidence: 58%
“…Others include water availability and relative humidity, radiation levels (via changes in cloud cover), wind speed, and timing of seasonality, and many of these interact in important ways with temperature (see Bradshaw and Holzapfel, 2001;Diamond et al, 2011;Kleynhans and Terblanche, 2011). Second, as pointed out in the introduction, the problems raised above deal only with different physical effects of climate changewhereas many of the shifts observed in populations will result from changes to biotic partners (Tylianakis et al, 2008).…”
Section: Challenges and Limitationsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…For example, the importance of climatic variation as a density-independent driver of population dynamics is now an amply supported tenet of population ecology, particularly for short-lived invertebrates with high vital rates (e.g. [5][6][7][8][9][10][11][12][13][14][15]). The link between weather and population dynamics has received renewed interest in recent decades because of the pressing need to predict organismal responses to climate change [12].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Inferences made from these analyses, while informative, are necessarily limited to the taxon under examination. Comparative analyses describing common responses to weather across taxa are relatively rare and have typically sought to identify similar responses to climatic variation among taxa grouped by shared morphology or life-history traits [6,8,11]. Here we take an unusual approach and index species in terms of population dynamics to search for common responses to weather across a spectrum of population volatility.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%